What to Know
- Eric Trump predicted at Bitcoin 2026 that bitcoin will hit $1 million and said he has is more bullish on the asset
- John Koudounis of Calamos said $60 billion has moved into spot bitcoin ETFs so far, against a projected $124 trillion generational wealth transfer through 2048
- The U.S. government holds roughly 300,000 bitcoin and has no plans to sell, according to Trump on stage in Las Vegas
- Calamos built a line of protected bitcoin ETFs that cap downside for conservative investors who want exposure without full volatility
Bitcoin took center stage at Bitcoin 2026 in Las Vegas when Eric Trump and Calamos Investments CEO John Koudounis told a packed room that the asset has crossed a threshold from speculative bet to global reserve contender. The two men shared a panel moderated by Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas and made the case that the old reasons to avoid bitcoin no longer hold, not for institutions, not for governments, and not for ordinary retail savers watching their purchasing power shrink.
Bitcoin Ownership Has Changed, Trump and Koudounis Say
Trump’s core argument at the conference was structural. Permanent holders are replacing natural sellers, and that shift is compressing available supply in ways the market has not fully priced in. The U.S. government sits on roughly 300,000 bitcoin with no sell mandate. Corporate treasury buyers have piled in. Strategy and Metaplanet, which surpassed 40,000 bitcoin in holdings by the end of Q1 2026, are treating BTC as a balance-sheet asset, not a trade.
Trump named Charles Schwab and Morgan Stanley as two of the world’s largest financial platforms that have already moved into bitcoin. American Bitcoin, the mining company Trump co-founded, operates on the same logic: mine and hold, never sell. ‘We are compressing bitcoin,’ Trump said on stage. ‘There is a limited supply.’ When the big sellers stop selling and large permanent holders keep accumulating, something has to give on price.
We are compressing bitcoin. There is a limited supply.
What Does the $124 Trillion Wealth Transfer Mean for Bitcoin?
Koudounis put the supply compression story inside a bigger frame. Research he cited projects $124 trillion in wealth will shift between generations by 2048, passing to Millennial and Gen Z inheritors who are comfortable with digital assets. Against that backdrop, the $60 billion already in spot bitcoin ETFs is a starting line, not a ceiling.
The institutional conversation has already shifted, he told the crowd. It is no longer a question of whether funds will buy bitcoin. The question is what percentage to allocate. ‘Once institutions get involved,’ Koudounis said, ‘it’s game over.’ He delivered that line without irony. For anyone who spent the last decade watching macro funds dismiss BTC as a toy, the reversal is hard to overstate.
The question used to be, ‘Are you buying bitcoin?’ Now it’s, ‘What percent are you allocating?’
How Calamos Is Bringing Conservative Investors Into Bitcoin
Bloomberg’s Eric Balchunas pushed both men on retail adoption, asking how they would pitch bitcoin to a skeptical older investor managing a fixed retirement income. It is a fair question. Bitcoin’s history of 80% drawdowns followed by sharp recoveries is not a natural comfort to someone who cannot afford to wait out a multi-year bear cycle.
Koudounis answered with a product. The Calamos protected bitcoin ETF line caps losses while preserving meaningful upside exposure. The goal is to put bitcoin inside a wrapper that traditional investors already recognize. Rather than asking a conservative saver to accept full volatility, Calamos built a structure that removes the worst-case outcome and wraps BTC inside familiar ETF packaging.
Trump’s answer was blunter. Fixed income at 4% is not a real alternative, he argued. ‘Do yourself a favor, go invest in fixed income at 4%,’ he said on stage. ‘I’ll invest in bitcoin. I’ll ride out the volatility and we’ll see who wins that equation in a 10-year period of time.’ He said bitcoin has averaged roughly 70% annual growth per year over the past decade. Whether you take that figure at face value or not, the comparison to bond yields is hard to dismiss.
Debanking: Why Trump Says He Advocates for Bitcoin
Trump’s path to bitcoin advocacy is personal in a way that goes beyond returns. After the January 6, 2021 Capitol riot, major banks closed hundreds of Trump Organization accounts spanning buildings, golf courses, and restaurants. JPMorgan has confirmed it closed those accounts. Trump and the Trump Organization later filed suit against Capital One over similar closures. ‘They threw us away like dogs,’ Trump said at the panel.
That experience pushed him toward bitcoin’s censorship-resistant architecture. Slow bank wire transfers and the sudden ability of a financial institution to cut off access made BTC’s permissionless design feel less theoretical and more urgent. ‘That’s why I advocate like hell for this industry,’ he said.
Koudounis extended the debanking point beyond the Trumps. He recalled Greece’s 2015 debt crisis, when the government imposed daily withdrawal limits on bank accounts that lasted roughly four years before capital controls were fully lifted. Citizens woke up to find the state had placed a hard ceiling on their own money. ‘You don’t have to be the Trumps to be targeted by banks,’ Koudounis said. ‘This can happen to anybody. You, me, any of us.’ The point landed hard. Bitcoin’s value as a censorship-resistant store of value is not hypothetical for anyone who lived through a sovereign debt crisis.
You don’t have to be the Trumps to be targeted by banks. This can happen to anybody. You, me, any of us.
Trump Closes With a $1 Million Bitcoin Price Target
Trump made three statements near the end of the panel that drew the loudest response of the session. He called government spending ‘dangerous’ and pointed to a federal investigation that found some government spending to be fraudulent, arguing that a transparent, programmable, decentralized ledger has real-world value beyond trading speculation. When fraud of that scale can persist in a well-administered country, bitcoin’s transparent architecture stops looking like a niche libertarian talking point.
He acknowledged that the past three months have been rough for holders and told the crowd to stay the course. Then he closed in plain terms: ‘I have absolute conviction that bitcoin is going to hit one million dollars. I’ve is more bullish on this asset class in my life.’
The macro case Trump presented for that conviction rests on currency weakness and geopolitical instability. He cited Iran specifically as an example of why traditional store-of-value assets face structural pressure. Bitcoin’s ability to move value across borders without a bank intermediary becomes more valuable the more fragile existing systems look. ‘Would you rather have the euro,’ he asked the room, ‘or would you rather have bitcoin, an asset that’s grown at 70% a year on average, year over year for the last decade? It’s not even close.’
Koudounis closed on a note aimed squarely at the people in the room. Banks spent years warning customers away from BTC while quietly building the infrastructure to invest in it themselves. ‘Banks got the clue,’ he said. Then he delivered the line the crowd was there to hear: ‘You guys won.’
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the bitcoin $1 million price target Eric Trump mentioned?
Eric Trump stated at Bitcoin 2026 in Las Vegas that he has absolute conviction bitcoin will reach $1 million per coin. He based the claim on supply compression from permanent institutional holders, government reserves, and an average annual growth rate of roughly 70% over the past decade, according to his remarks on stage.
What is a Calamos protected bitcoin ETF?
A Calamos protected bitcoin ETF is a fund that caps downside losses while giving investors exposure to bitcoin price gains. Calamos CEO John Koudounis developed the product line to attract conservative investors, such as retirees, who want bitcoin exposure without accepting its full historical volatility, according to his statements at Bitcoin 2026.
Why does bitcoin supply compression matter for price?
Supply compression happens when large permanent holders stop selling and new buyers keep accumulating. With the U.S. government holding 300,000 bitcoin, corporate treasuries adding more, and miners like American Bitcoin holding every coin they produce, the amount available on the open market shrinks over time, which puts upward pressure on price.
What is American Bitcoin?
American Bitcoin is a bitcoin mining company co-founded by Eric Trump. The firm mines bitcoin and holds every coin it produces rather than selling, a strategy Trump described as actively compressing available bitcoin supply. The company was discussed at the Bitcoin 2026 conference in Las Vegas in April 2026.
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Every investment and trading decision involves risk. Readers should conduct their own research before making any financial decisions.

































